The e-Book Reader and Tablet Market Report

Table of Contents
1 Executive Summary 14
     1.1.      Report Methodology 14
     1.2.      Technology Summary 15
          1.2.1.           Display Overview 15
     1.3.      Market Summary 16
          1.3.1.           Market Overview 16
          1.3.2.           Markets and Players 17
     1.4.      Forecast 18
          1.4.1.           EBR Unit Forecast 18
          1.4.2.           EBR Revenue Forecast 19
2 Segmentation Analysis 19
     2.1.      Introduction 19
     2.2.      Product Landscape 20
     2.3.      Product List 22
     2.4.      Device Features and Profiles 34
     2.5.      Use Mode Analysis 37
          2.5.1.           Dedicated vs. Convergence Use Model 37
          2.5.2.           Consumer Use Modes 41
          2.5.3.           Impact of Different Use Modes 43
     2.6.      Market Development Analysis 45
     2.7.      Publishing Industry Analysis 47
     2.8.      Device Segmentation 49
     2.9.      Market Segmentation 51
     2.10.      SWOT Analysis 52
3 Forecast Analysis 58
     3.1.      Methodology and Assumptions 58
          3.1.1.           Total Available Market and Penetration Models 59
          3.1.2.           Consumer Expectations Analysis 63
     3.2.      Price Analysis 65
          3.2.1.           EBR Price Development 65
          3.2.2.           EBR Market Pricing 65
          3.2.3.           Overall Price Evaluation 67
          3.2.4.           Tablet Pricing 70
4 Market Segment Forecasts 71
     4.1.      General Purpose e-Books 71
          4.1.1.           Market Development and TAM Analysis 71
          4.1.2.           The Impact of the Publishers and Resellers 74
          4.1.3.           Consumer Expectation Analysis 77
          4.1.4.           Forecast & Discussion 79
     4.2.      e-Newspapers 81
          4.2.1.           Market Development and TAM Analysis 81
          4.2.2.           Consumer Expectations Analysis 86
          4.2.3.           Forecast & Discussion 88
     4.3.      e-Magazines 89
          4.3.1.           Market Development and TAM Analysis 89
          4.3.2.           Consumer Expectations Analysis 91
     4.4.      e-Textbooks 93
          4.4.1.           Market Development and TAM Analysis 93
          4.4.2.           Consumer Needs Analysis 96
          4.4.3.           Forecast & Discussion 98
     4.5.      e-Professional Reference Books 99
          4.5.1.           Market Development and TAM Analysis 99
          4.5.2.           Consumer Expectations Analysis 101
          4.5.3.           Forecast and Discussion 103
     4.6.      Tablet 104
          4.6.1.           Tablet Definition and Use Model Discussion 104
          4.6.2.           Market Development and TAM Analysis 107
          4.6.3.           Consumer Expectations Analysis 108
          4.6.4.           Forecast and Discussion 111
     4.7.      Summary 114
          4.7.1.           Total Unit Sales Summary 114
          4.7.2.           Breakdown by Color and B&W 116
          4.7.3.           Breakdown by Display Size 117
          4.7.4.           Sales Value 119
5 Key Display Technology and Market Players 122
     5.1.      Transmissive LCDs 122
     5.2.      Transflective LCDs 123
          5.2.1.           Pixel Qi 123
     5.3.      Reflective BiStable LCDs 124
          5.3.1.           Nemoptic 124
          5.3.2.           ZBD Displays, Limited 128
          5.3.3.           Kent Displays 132
          5.3.4.           ITRI 134
     5.4.      Moving Particles in Liquid 136
          5.4.1.           E Ink/PVI 137
          5.4.2.           SiPix Imaging/AUO 140
     5.5.      Moving Particles in Air 144
          5.5.1.           Bridgestone 144
     5.6.      Electrowetting 147
          5.6.1.           Liquavista 147
     5.7.      MEMS 151
          5.7.1.           Qualcomm MEMS Technologies 151
     5.8.      Electrophoretic Value Add Partners 155
          5.8.1.           Wistron/Polymer Vision 155
          5.8.2.           Plastic Logic 157
          5.8.3.           LG Display 160
          5.8.4.           Seiko Epson 162
          5.8.5.           Hewlett Packard 164
     5.9.      Summary of Key Player Approaches 167
6 Other Display Players 169
     6.1.      Moving Particles in a Liquid 169
          6.1.1.           CLEAR Display 169
     6.2.      Moving Particles in Air 171
          6.2.1.           Annulex 171
     6.3.      Electrowetting 172
          6.3.1.           ADT GmbH 172
          6.3.2.           PVI/ITRI 173
     6.4.      Electrochromic 174
          6.4.1.           Aveso 174
          6.4.2.           Ajjer 176
          6.4.3.           Acreo/Soligie 176
          6.4.4.           Funai Electric 177
          6.4.5.           Konica Minolta 178
          6.4.6.           NTERA 178
          6.4.7.           Samsung Advanced Institute of Technology 180
          6.4.8.           Siemens/PolyIC 180
     6.5.      Photoconductors 181
          6.5.1.           Fuji Xerox 181
     6.6.      Photonic Crystals 182
          6.6.1.           Opalux 182
     6.7.      Piezoelectric Interference 185
          6.7.1.           Fuji Photo Film 185
     6.8.      Other Players Summary 187
7 Appendix of Tablet Products Specs 189
Table of Figures
Figure 1: EBR and e-Tablet Report Methodology 14
Figure 2: Worldwide Unit Sales Forecast 18
Figure 3: Worldwide US $ Sales Forecast 19
Figure 4: Flowchart of Segmentation Analysis 20
Figure 5: Product Landscape of Tablet and EBR Devices 20
Figure 6: Features and Device Profiles 35
Figure 7: Mobility vs. Performance Landscape of Electronic Consumer Devices 37
Figure 8: Performance vs. Price Landscape of Personal Electronic Devices 38
Figure 9: Historical Use of Dedicated Devices 39
Figure 10: The Emergence of the Convergence Device 40
Figure 11: Use Modes for Consumer Electronic Devices 42
Figure 12: Multifunction Device Segmentation 50
Figure 13: EBR Dedicated Reader Device Segmentation 51
Figure 14: SWOT Analysis for the Dedicated EBR 54
Figure 15: SWOT Analysis for the Tablet 55
Figure 16: SWOT Analysis for the Smartphone 56
Figure 17: SWOT Analysis for the Netbook 57
Figure 18: Market Forecast Analysis Methodology 58
Figure 19: CE Market Penetration Curves based on US Data 61
Figure 20: Consumer Expectations Evaluation Chart Explanation 64
Figure 21: Average EBR Price by Size 65
Figure 22: Market Pricing for 6" EBR Devices 66
Figure 23: 5" EBR Touchscreen Premium 67
Figure 24: 6" EBR Touchscreen Premium 68
Figure 25: 6" EBR WiFi Premium 69
Figure 26: 6" EBR 3G Premium 70
Figure 27: Historic USA Literacy Reading Rates 71
Figure 28: European Reading Participation Rate 72
Figure 29: People in the USA by Number of Books Read per Year 73
Figure 30: Worldwide Adjusted Tam for e-book Use 74
Figure 31: Price Point Development in Amazon Kindle Store in 2010 76
Figure 32: US Wholesale Value of e-Books from trade Publishers 77
Figure 33: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Book Segment 2010 78
Figure 34: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Book Segment 2014 79
Figure 35: Forecast for the e-Book Segment 80
Figure 36: Development of the US Newspaper Circulation since 1945 81
Figure 37: Development of the Worldwide Newspaper Circulation 82
Figure 38: 2006-2007 Worldwide Regional Newspaper Circulation 83
Figure 39: Unique US Newspaper Website Visits 83
Figure 40: Adjusted TAM for the e-Newspaper Segment 84
Figure 41: Cost Comparison of Newspaper Subscription in the US 85
Figure 42: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Newspaper Segment 2010 87
Figure 43: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Newspaper Segment 2014 87
Figure 44: Forecast for the e-Newspaper Segment 88
Figure 45: US Magazine Circulation 90
Figure 46: Monthly Subscription Cost of US Magazines 91
Figure 47: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Magazine Segment 2010 92
Figure 48: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Magazine Segment 2014 93
Figure 49: Worldwide Student Population Forecast 94
Figure 50: Adjusted TAM for the e-Textbook Segment 94
Figure 51: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Textbook Segment 2010 97
Figure 52: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Textbook Segment 2014 97
Figure 53: Forecast for the e-Textbook Segment 98
Figure 54: Adjusted TAM for the e-Reference Book Segment 100
Figure 55: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Reference Book Segment 2010 102
Figure 56: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the e-Reference Book Segment 2014 102
Figure 57: Forecast for the e-Reference Book Segment 103
Figure 58: Adjusted TAM for the Tablet Segment 107
Figure 59: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the Tablet Segment 2010 110
Figure 60: Consumer Expectation Analysis for the Tablet Segment 2014 110
Figure 61: Fast Penetration Curve for Tablets based on Netbook Penetration 111
Figure 62: Forecast for the Tablet Segment 112
Figure 63: Combined Worldwide Lower Forecast 115
Figure 64: Combined Worldwide Expected Forecast 115
Figure 65: Combined Worldwide Upper Forecast 116
Figure 66: Distribution by Monochrome or Color 117
Figure 67: Display Size Distribution for the Expected Forecast 118
Figure 68: Expected Segment Price Development 120
Figure 69: Worldwide $-Sales Forecast 120
Figure 70: How BiNem Works 125
Figure 71: Steep Falling Edge: Twisted State 125
Figure 72: Smooth Falling Edge: Uniform State 126
Figure 73: BiNem Grayscales 126
Figure 74: BiNem Combined Grayscales and Color 127
Figure 75: Cross Section of a Zenithal Bistable LCD 130
Figure 76: Phase Shifting the Gratings Anchors Defects at the Top and Bottom of the Grooves as in (b) Below 130
Figure 77: (a) High Tilt -Black State 131
Figure 78: (b) Low Tilt White State ('Defect' State) 131
Figure 79: Cross Section of ChLCD 133
Figure 80: Cross section of ITRI's dual-stack RGB chLCD 136
Figure 81: ITRI's Latest Demonstration of a Flexible CH LCD Display 136
Figure 82: Cross Section of Electronic-Ink Microcapsules 138
Figure 83: Cross Section of the SiPix Display 141
Figure 84: SiPix Microcups 142
Figure 85: SiPix's full color using in-plane switching 142
Figure 86: Bridgestone Display in Cross Section Showing Operating Principle 145
Figure 87: Fabrication of Bridgestone Display 145
Figure 88: Rib Structure for Containing Particles in Bridgestone Display 146
Figure 89: Cross Section of EW Display and its Operation 149
Figure 90: Full Color Using Triple Layers of Cyan, Magenta and Yellow 149
Figure 91: Full Color EWD Using Double Substrates and Color Filter 150
Figure 92: Illustration of Qualcomm's 'Mirasol' Technology 152
Figure 93: Operation of Qualcomm Display 153
Figure 94: Cross Section of Polymer Vision Backplane 156
Figure 95: Simplicity of Printable Processing at Room Temperature 159
Figure 96: LG Display's Gate-in-Panel Structure 160
Figure 97: HP's Luminescent Reflective Color Approach 165
Figure 98: HP's Luminescent Color Chart 166
Figure 99: Cross Section of the CLEAR Display 170
Figure 100: Droplet Moving Through Constriction 172
Figure 101: Colored droplets move from covered reservoir R to a visible reservoir V. Stacked 173
Figure 102: Cross Section of an Aveso Display 175
Figure 103: Acreo Electrochromic Display 177
Figure 104: NTERA uses a vertical stack of electrochromic cyan, magenta and yellow as subtractive inks 180
Figure 105: Cross-Section of a Photo-Addressable Electronic Paper from Fuji Xerox 182
Figure 106: P-ink Technology 184
Figure 107: Elastink Technology 184
Figure 108: Opalux Varies Colors by Voltage 185
Figure 109: Cross Section of Fuji Film Display 186
Table of Tables
Table 1: Market Composition 17
Table 2: EBR Product List 24
Table 3: Tablet Product List 27
Table 4: Announced Tablet Devices 30
Table 5: EBR Device Segments vs. Market Segments 52
Table 6: Device Performance Potential for Various Device Types 53
Table 7: Market Segmentation and Adjusted TAM 60
Table 8: Comparison of EBR Features with other CE Products 61
Table 9: Adjusted TAM vs. Electronic Devices 62
Table 10: Consumer Expectations Analysis Parameters for the e-Book 78
Table 11: Consumer Expectations Analysis Parameters for the e-Newspaper 86
Table 12: Needs Analysis Parameter for the e-Magazine 91
Table 13: Needs Analysis Parameter for the e-Textbook 96
Table 14: US Population by Service Relevant Occupation (2006) 100
Table 15: Consumer Expectations Analysis Parameters for the e-Reference Book 101
Table 16: Consumer Expectations Analysis Parameters for the Tablet 108
Table 17: Percentage of Devices using Color Displays 116
Table 18: Estimated Weighted Average Price Development of Devices 119
Table 19: Aluratek 189
Table 20: Amazon 191
Table 21: Astak 194
Table 22: Augen 196
Table 23: Azbooka 198
Table 24: Barnes & Noble 200
Table 25: Bookeen 202
Table 26: Condor Technology Associates 204
Table 27: Delstar 207
Table 28: Delta 209
Table 29: EC Media 210
Table 30: Ectaco 211
Table 31: Elonex 214
Table 32: Endless ideas 216
Table 33: eRead 219
Table 34: Foxit Software 221
Table 35: Fujitsu 222
Table 36: Hanvon 224
Table 37: Interead 226
Table 38: iRex Technologies 228
Table 39: Iriver 230
Table 40: italica GmbH 232
Table 41: Jinke 235
Table 42: Kobo 237
Table 43: Kogan 239
Table 44: Literati 241
Table 45: Netronix 243
Table 46: Netronix (Part Two) 245
Table 47: Netronix (Part Three) 247
Table 48: Onyx International 249
Table 49: Pandigital 251
Table 50: Paradigm Shift 253
Table 51: Plastic Logic 255
Table 52: PocketBook 257
Table 53: Samsung 259
Table 54: Shanda Literature Group 260
Table 55: Sony 262
Table 56: Sony (Part Two) 264
Table 57: Velocity Micro 266
Table 58: Viewsonic 268
Table 59: Acer 270
Table 60: Acorp 272
Table 61: Apple 274
Table 62: Archos 275
Table 63: Archos (Part Two) 277
Table 64: Asus 279
Table 65: Augen 281
Table 66: Avaya 283
Table 67: Camangi 284
Table 68: Cisco 286
Table 69: Compumax 288
Table 70: Dell 289
Table 71: Eken 292
Table 72: Eken (Part Two) 294
Table 73: enTourage 295
Table 74: ExoPC 297
Table 75: Flat Computing 299
Table 76: Fujitsu 300
Table 77: Fusion Garage 302
Table 78: Gigabyte 304
Table 79: Haleron 305
Table 80: Hanspree 307
Table 81: Hanvon 308
Table 82: Hivision 310
Table 83: Hott 312
Table 84: HP 313
Table 85: HTC 316
Table 86: Huawei 318
Table 87: ICD 319
Table 88: iiView 321
Table 89: iMito 322
Table 90: Kno 325
Table 91: Lenovo 326
Table 92: LG 329
Table 93: Marvell 331
Table 94: Motion Computing 332
Table 95: Motorola 335
Table 96: MSI 337
Table 97: Nefonie 338
Table 98: Notion Ink 340
Table 99: OLPC 341
Table 100: Onkyo 343
Table 101: OpenPeak 345
Table 102: Orphan Electronics 346
Table 103: Panasonic 348
Table 104: Pandawill 351
Table 105: RIM 353
Table 106: Rocketfish 355
Table 107: Rydeen 356
Table 108: Samsung 358
Table 109: Sharp 360
Table 110: Smart PC 361
Table 111: Sony 363
Table 112: Stream TV 365
Table 113: Superman Industrial 367
Table 114: TabletKiosk 368
Table 115: Teso 371
Table 116: Toshiba 373
Table 117: Velocity Micro 374
Table 118: Viewsonic 376
Table 119: Viliv 377
Table 120: Viliv (Part Two) 378
Table 121: Zenithink 380

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